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20 resultsShowing papers similar to Assessment of Uncertainties in Ecological Risk Based on the Prediction of Land Use Change and Ecosystem Service Evolution
ClearEcological Zoning Based on Value–Risk in the Wuling Mountains Area of Hunan Province
Researchers assessed ecological zoning in China's Wuling Mountains region based on ecosystem service value and ecological risk from 2000 to 2020. They found that both overall ecosystem value and ecological risk increased over the study period, with forests providing over 77% of the total ecosystem service value. The study provides a framework for ecological planning that accounts for environmental risks, including those from pollution and land use changes.
Landscape Ecological Risk Assessment Based on Land Use Change in the Yellow River Basin of Shaanxi, China
Researchers assessed landscape ecological risk in the Yellow River Basin of Shaanxi, China using land use change data, finding that fragmentation and conversion of natural habitats driven by urbanization and agriculture have substantially increased ecological risk across the basin over recent decades.
Evaluation of plateau wetland ecological security and its influencing factors in multi-climatic zones: A case study of Yunnan Province
Not a microplastics paper — this study assesses the ecological security of plateau wetlands across Yunnan Province, China using a pressure-state-response model based on remote sensing data, identifying climate and human activity as key threats to these fragile ecosystems.
Coastal Wetland Restoration Strategies Based on Ecosystem Service Changes: A Case Study of the South Bank of Hangzhou Bay
Researchers analyzed coastal wetland restoration strategies based on ecosystem service changes along Hangzhou Bay's south bank, identifying priority restoration areas where interventions would maximize ecological benefits including pollution filtration and biodiversity support.
Assessing wetlands ecological risk through an adaptive cycle framework
Not relevant to microplastics — this paper develops an ecological risk assessment framework for wetlands based on adaptive cycle theory, applied to Kunshan, China, focusing on climate change and human impacts rather than plastic contamination.
Multi-Scenario Simulation to Predict Ecological Risk Posed by Urban Sprawl with Spontaneous Growth: A Case Study of Quanzhou
This study used a Markov chain and PLUS land-use simulation model to project urban expansion under multiple scenarios for Quanzhou, China from 2005 to 2018 and beyond. Results showed that organic urban sprawl driven by market forces posed the greatest ecological risk compared to planned or constrained growth scenarios.
Analysis of Potential Supply of Ecosystem Services in Forest Remnants through Neural Networks
Researchers applied an artificial neural network to geospatial indicators to assess the potential supply of regulating ecosystem services from forest remnants in Campinas, Brazil. The study analyzed landscape configuration factors and evaluated how both the supply of and societal demand for ecosystem services influence the actual benefits provided by fragmented forest patches.
Integrated Ecological Risk Assessment of the Agricultural Area under a High Anthropopressure Based on Chemical, Ecotoxicological and Ecological Indicators
Researchers conducted an integrated ecological risk assessment of agricultural land using chemical, ecotoxicological, and ecological indicators, finding that while chemical analysis overestimated risk, the combined approach revealed most of the area had acceptable risk levels despite over a century of anthropogenic pressure.
A Framework to Identify Priority Areas for Restoration: Integrating Human Demand and Ecosystem Services in Dongting Lake Eco-Economic Zone, China
Researchers developed a framework integrating human demand and ecosystem services to identify priority restoration areas in the Dongting Lake Eco-Economic Zone, enabling more targeted and beneficial ecological restoration planning.
Evaluation of the Spatiotemporal Change of Ecological Quality under the Context of Urban Expansion—A Case Study of Typical Urban Agglomerations in China
Researchers tracked changes in ecological quality across three major urban areas in China over two decades of rapid urbanization. They found that urban expansion significantly reduced ecological quality in surrounding areas, with the most severe impacts occurring in newly developed zones. The study provides a framework for monitoring how urbanization affects local ecosystems using remote sensing data.
Estimating Forest Aboveground Carbon Storage in Hang-Jia-Hu Using Landsat TM/OLI Data and Random Forest Model
Researchers used Landsat satellite imagery and machine learning to estimate forest carbon storage in a region of China over two decades. The study demonstrates remote sensing as a practical tool for tracking carbon stocks and the effects of land-use change.
From mapping to modelling: the evolving multidimensional microplastic risks in China's farmlands
Researchers combined a national-scale soil survey with machine learning models to map and project microplastic risks across China's farmlands through 2050, finding that agricultural film use, population density, and GDP are key drivers, and that regional risk rankings will shift counter-intuitively depending on which socioeconomic development pathway is followed.
Identification and Prediction of Crop Waterlogging Risk Areas under the Impact of Climate Change
Researchers developed a crop waterlogging risk identification model to predict areas vulnerable to agricultural flooding under climate change scenarios, aiming to support disaster prevention planning in affected farming regions.
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Land Use Changesand Their Impacts on Ecosystem ServiceValue in the Qinghai Lake Basin, 2003-2023
Researchers examined spatiotemporal land use changes and their effects on ecosystem service value in the Qinghai Lake Basin of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau over a 20-year period from 2003 to 2023. The study found that land use alterations significantly disrupted biodiversity, soil retention, water conservation, and overall ecosystem service value in this important inland saltwater lake region.
What Determines the Future Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks: Load, Location or Climate Change?
Researchers developed a systematic framework for assessing future ecological risks from wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) effluents in river networks by combining plant size class as a proxy for pollutant load with stream order as a proxy for discharge location, applying it under climate change scenarios to show that streamflow reduction in receiving rivers will significantly worsen ecological risk even without increases in pollutant loads.
Future Risk of Tourism Pressures under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Three-River-Source National Park
This study modeled future tourism pressure on the Three-River-Source National Park in China under climate change scenarios, finding that warmer temperatures could significantly expand the area accessible to tourists and increase ecological stress. Spatial planning was used to identify zones most at risk from future tourism growth. Proactive conservation zoning is needed to protect fragile ecosystems from tourism-related degradation.
Spatiotemporal changes in land use and residential satisfaction in the Huai River-Gaoyou Lake Rim area
Researchers used two decades of satellite data to track land use changes and ecological risks in China's Jiangsu Province, focusing on shifts between agricultural, urban, and wetland areas. Land use changes alter how plastic waste and microplastics are transported and deposited in freshwater ecosystems.
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change
Researchers developed an analytical framework to assess ecological risks from wastewater treatment plant discharges into river networks under climate change scenarios, finding that reduced river flows from climate change will amplify ecological risks from effluent contaminants including microplastics.
Conditions of Mainland China’s Island Ecosystems and Associated Influencing Factors: Integrated Assessment of 42 Typical Island Ecosystems
Researchers assessed the ecological condition of 42 representative islands along China's coast using a framework integrating environmental quality, biological structure, and landscape patterns, finding that island ecosystem health varied significantly by size, location, and human land use intensity.
A new holistic perspective to assess the ecological risk of microplastics: A case study in Baiyangdian Basin, China
Researchers developed a more comprehensive method for assessing the ecological risks of microplastic pollution by considering not just concentration but also the physical and chemical properties of the particles. Applied to a Chinese wetland basin, the approach revealed that traditional methods significantly underestimate the true ecological risk, with human activity and poor water flow contributing to the highest danger zones.