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Papers
61,005 resultsShowing papers similar to Using species distribution modelling to identify ‘coldspots’ for conservation of freshwater fishes under a changing climate
ClearClimate Change May Impact Nile Tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus (Linnaeus, 1758) Distribution in the Southeastern Arabian Peninsula through Range Contraction under Various Climate Scenarios
This paper is not directly about microplastics — it uses species distribution modeling to predict how climate change will affect the range of invasive Nile tilapia in the freshwater systems of the southeastern Arabian Peninsula, finding that suitable habitat areas will contract under future climate scenarios.
Species Distribution Model (SDM) Predicts the Spread of Invasive Nile Tilapia in the Sensitive Inland Water System of the Southeastern Arabian Peninsula Under Climate Change
Not relevant to microplastics — this study uses species distribution models with CMIP6 climate projections to predict the potential spread of invasive Nile tilapia in the freshwater systems of the southeastern Arabian Peninsula.
Genomic Prediction of (Mal)Adaptation Across Current and Future Climatic Landscapes
This study developed genomic prediction models to forecast how organisms adapted to current climate conditions might (mal)adapt as climate change shifts selective pressures, offering a tool for conservation planning under future climate scenarios.
A Conservation Assessment of Freshwater Ecosystems in Southwestern Patagonia
This review synthesizes conservation information for freshwater ecosystems in southwestern Patagonia, identifying the region as a globally significant area of relatively intact freshwater biodiversity warranting urgent conservation priority.
Shadow distributions: Deconstructing the geography of human impacts on species' natural distribution
Not relevant to microplastics — this paper introduces a novel concept called 'shadow distributions' using AI to model how human threats constrain freshwater fish populations across their geographic ranges in Switzerland.
Modelling to inform the conservation and management of aquatic ecosystems: A synthesis of five case studies
Not relevant to microplastics — this paper presents five modeling case studies for managing aquatic ecosystems under threats including invasive species, over-exploitation, and climate change; microplastics are briefly mentioned as one of many stressors but are not the paper's focus.
Maximum Entropy Method for Wind Farm Site Selection: Implications for River Basin Ecosystems Under Climate Change
Researchers employed the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) spatial modeling method to identify optimal wind farm sites in Turkey, incorporating climate change scenarios and finding that 89% of currently licensed wind energy projects will remain viable in the future while overall wind energy potential is projected to increase.
Habitat changes of a small endemic euryhaline fish species in the northern margin of the South China Sea under the background of global warming
This paper is not relevant to microplastics research; it models the habitat range shifts of an endemic medaka fish species in the South China Sea under past and future climate scenarios, with no focus on plastic contamination.
Estimating the Spatial Distribution and Future Conservation Requirements of the Spotted Seal in the North Pacific
Not relevant to microplastics — this conservation ecology study models the spatial distribution and climate-change-driven habitat loss of three spotted seal (Phoca largha) populations across the North Pacific, proposing updated marine protected area strategies.
Hydrological modelling: Insights into hydrological signals and contaminant transport
Researchers modeled how future climate-driven changes in hydrological extremes — including floods and droughts — affect contaminant transport in a heavily polluted Scottish catchment, finding that traditional models calibrated on historical data perform poorly when projecting under novel climatic conditions.
Simulation of nutrient management and hydroclimatic effects on coastal water quality and ecological status—The Baltic Himmerfjärden Bay case
Researchers used computer modeling to simulate how different nutrient management scenarios and climate conditions would affect water quality and ecological status in the Baltic Sea's Himmerfjarden Bay. The study provides a tool for coastal managers to evaluate strategies for reducing eutrophication under future climate scenarios.
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change
Researchers developed an analytical framework to assess ecological risks from wastewater treatment plant discharges into river networks under climate change scenarios, finding that reduced river flows from climate change will amplify ecological risks from effluent contaminants including microplastics.
What Determines the Future Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks: Load, Location or Climate Change?
Researchers developed a systematic framework for assessing future ecological risks from wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) effluents in river networks by combining plant size class as a proxy for pollutant load with stream order as a proxy for discharge location, applying it under climate change scenarios to show that streamflow reduction in receiving rivers will significantly worsen ecological risk even without increases in pollutant loads.
How does the climate change effect on hydropower potential, freshwater fisheries, and hydrological response of snow on water availability?
This review examines how climate change affects water resources, hydropower potential, and freshwater fisheries in snow-fed river basins. While not directly about microplastics, the paper is relevant because changes in water flow and temperature can alter how microplastics are transported and concentrated in rivers and lakes. Understanding these hydrological shifts helps predict where microplastic pollution may worsen as the climate changes.
Prospects for conserving freshwater fish biodiversity in the Anthropocene: A view from Southern China
This review examines the threats facing freshwater fish biodiversity in southern China, including habitat fragmentation from dams, pollution, invasive species, and emerging contaminants like microplastics. Researchers note that about 40% of fish species in the region lack sufficient data to assess their conservation status. The study highlights that microplastics, combined with warming temperatures and other stressors, create unpredictable but likely harmful effects on aquatic ecosystems.
What Do We Really Know About Adaptation at Range Edges?
This review evaluated current theory and empirical evidence on how evolutionary forces shape adaptation at stable and transient range margins of species distributions. It found that trait divergence at leading range edges is frequently supported but that fitness declines beyond range boundaries are common, complicating predictions about species' responses to shifting climates.
Prediction of Oncomelania hupensis distribution in association with climate change using machine learning models
Researchers used machine learning models to predict the current and future geographic range of Oncomelania hupensis — a freshwater snail that carries the parasite causing schistosomiasis in humans — and found climate change is likely to push snail populations northward and westward in China's Yunnan Province. These projections can help public health agencies target snail control efforts in areas that may become newly suitable habitats.
Water Quality Modelling, Monitoring, and Mitigation
This special issue review examines advances in water quality modelling, monitoring, and mitigation approaches, noting that while models and indices have become central tools for water resource management, site-specific limitations and high uncertainty in predictions remain key challenges for reliably assessing freshwater body health.
The concept, approach, and future research of hydrological connectivity and its assessment at multiscales
Researchers reviewed the concept of hydrological connectivity — the water-mediated transfer of matter and energy across landscapes — examining how dam construction, land management, and climate factors alter it, and identifying numerical modeling and connectivity indices as the most useful tools for its assessment across spatial scales.
Reconstructing the response of native fish in lakes to historical anthropogenic disturbances
Researchers reconstructed the historical responses of native fish communities in New Zealand lakes to anthropogenic disturbances, drawing on paleolimnological and historical records to understand how 74% of native fish species came to be classified as at risk or threatened. The study highlights the complex and synergistic drivers of fish decline and the need for long-term data to inform conservation strategies.
Commercially Caught Freshwater Fishes in the Philippines: Status, Issues, and Recommendations
Researchers assessed the status of commercially caught freshwater fish species in major inland waters of the Philippines using catch data, literature, and stakeholder interviews, identifying sustainability threats from overfishing and habitat degradation across 406,328 hectares of inland water resources.
Thermal tolerances of Popenaias popeii (Texas hornshell) and its host fish from the Rio Grande Basin, Texas
Researchers assessed the thermal tolerance of the endangered Texas hornshell freshwater mussel and its host fish in the Devils River, finding that stream temperatures only occasionally exceeded lethal thresholds due to large spring water inputs, highlighting the critical importance of protecting spring flows to preserve this species.
Time for decisive actions to protect freshwater ecosystems from global changes
This review called for decisive actions to protect freshwater ecosystems from global changes including climate change, habitat modification, pollution, and invasive species, emphasizing the critical services these ecosystems provide to humans.
Using long‐term data series to design adequate protected areas that ensure the conservation of inconspicuous small petrel species
Researchers used ensemble species distribution models built from 15 years of at-sea census data along the Atlantic Iberian arc to predict the distribution of the European storm-petrel and compare predicted key habitat areas against officially designated marine special protection areas, finding gaps in current protected area coverage.