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Sustainable Development Goal Interactions

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Anne Warchold

Summary

This thesis applies systems thinking and quantitative analysis to examine Sustainable Development Goal interactions across contexts and scales, using the 2030 Agenda as a framework to understand how addressing interconnected crises of climate change, biodiversity loss, inequality, and economic fragility requires integrated rather than siloed policy responses.

The world faces the climate crisis and biodiversity loss alongside social inequality and economic fragility. These crises are deeply interconnected, exposing limitations of siloed responses. To address this complexity, this thesis adopts a systems perspective to analyze Sustainable Development Goal (SDGs) interactions, using the 2030 Agenda as a blueprint for long-term sustainability. Applying qualitative reviews, quantitative analyses, and causal inferences, SDG interactions are examined across contexts and scales. The findings contribute to five key narratives shaping sustainable development discourse: (1) treating SDGs in silos contradicts their very essence, only by recognizing their interconnectedness can synergies be leveraged and trade-offs effectively mitigated; (2) data availability and selection shape sustainability narratives; and (3) inclusive approaches to "leave no one behind" can act as multipliers for SDG progress. Economic transitions, such as the shift to a bioeconomy, are framed as sustainability accelerators. However, this thesis further highlights competing priorities of sustainability agendas as (4) bioeconomy transitions cause significant negative impacts, with sustainability progress often benefiting the bioeconomy more than vice versa; while (5) countries' bioeconomy strategies prioritize opportunities for change but sidestep potential trade-offs. Given the inevitability of some trade-offs and crises, a holistic understanding of synergies and trade-offs is key for informed SDG prioritization. By making the 2030 Agenda's complexity tangible, this thesis bridges disciplinary silos in research and enhances evidence-based decision-making in sustainability governance. Embracing systems perspectives and continuous commitment is essential for realizing the SDGs' transformative potential and will be beyond 2030.

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