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Microplastic pollution associated with probabilistic human health risks: Potential hazards, critical factors, challenges, and limitations

Marine Pollution Bulletin 2025 5 citations

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This review provides a framework for estimating the cancer risk from microplastic exposure through food and water, using measures like estimated daily intake and a microplastic cancer risk score. Key factors that determine risk include body weight, the type of plastic, how much is consumed, and how long the exposure lasts. While the data is still incomplete, the framework helps researchers and regulators begin to quantify the potential long-term health dangers of microplastic pollution.

Microplastics are increasingly found in water and food, raising concerns about long-term human health risks, including cancer. This work synthesizes existing data and methodologies to explore the probabilistic human health risks associated with microplastic pollution, offering a comprehensive framework for understanding exposure pathways, toxicity mechanisms, and risk assessment approaches. It emphasizes estimated daily intake (EDI) and potential microplastic cancer risk (MPCR), applying them to evaluate exposure through food and water. Key variables, such as body weight, population group, polymer type, ingestion rate, cancer slope factor, and exposure pathway, collectively inform risk estimates. While ingestion rate and exposure levels (concentration and duration) are central to risk assessment, uncertainties remain. Addressing these gaps requires interdisciplinary approaches combining toxicology, environmental science, and computational modeling to better understand and manage the potential health risks posed by microplastic pollution.

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