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Projecting Future Challenges in Maritime Security
Summary
This analysis examines projected maritime security challenges facing Indonesia as the world's largest archipelagic nation, including non-state criminal activity, AI-enabled hybrid warfare, and ecological degradation from pollution and climate change, proposing a geomaritime resilience framework as a multidimensional response strategy.
As the largest archipelagic nation, Indonesia possesses vast maritime potential essential to national development and regional stability. However, these potential faces increasing disruption from a constellation of maritime security challenges, including non-state criminal activities, the emergence of hybrid warfare involving artificial intelligence, and ecological degradation driven by pollution and climate change. The analysis applies qualitative content methods to examine the strategic concept of geomaritime resilience as a multidimensional response framework. By reviewing policy documents, institutional assessments, and academic sources, the study classifies maritime threats into traditional and contemporary categories and evaluates governance responses at both national and regional levels. The findings reveal that national maritime security efforts remain constrained by resource limitations, operational fragmentation, and legal jurisdictional gaps. In contrast, regional cooperation provides a more adaptive and integrated pathway to shared threats. The concept of geomaritime is advanced as both an analytical lens and policy mechanism, integrating geoeconomic logic with sustainable marine governance. Strengthening legal frameworks, enhancing intersectoral collaboration, and expanding investment in marine conservation technologies emerge as critical strategies to reinforce collective maritime security and sustainability across the Indo-Pacific.
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