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Tier 2
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Original research — experimental, observational, or case-control study. Direct primary evidence.
Environmental Sources
Marine & Wildlife
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Evaluating scenarios toward zero plastic pollution
Science2020
1594 citations
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Citation count from OpenAlex, updated daily. May differ slightly from the publisher's own count.
Score: 60
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0–100 AI score estimating relevance to the microplastics field. Papers below 30 are filtered from public browse.
Julien Boucher,
Richard C. Thompson
Ed Cook,
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Emilia Jankowska,
Martin Stuchtey,
Richard C. Thompson
Winnie W. Y. Lau,
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Richard C. Thompson
Jutta Gutberlet,
Jutta Gutberlet,
Linda Godfrey,
Ed Cook,
Costas A. Velis,
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Edward Kosior,
Ed Cook,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Yonathan Shiran,
Ed Cook,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Costas A. Velis,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Winnie W. Y. Lau,
Winnie W. Y. Lau,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
U. Rashid Sumaila,
U. Rashid Sumaila,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard M. Bailey,
Ed Cook,
Costas A. Velis,
Costas A. Velis,
Costas A. Velis,
Costas A. Velis,
Julien Boucher,
Julien Boucher,
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Ed Cook,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Arturo Castillo Castillo,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard M. Bailey,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Martin Stuchtey,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Julia Koskella,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Costas A. Velis,
Richard C. Thompson
Jutta Gutberlet,
Richard C. Thompson
Linda Godfrey,
Winnie W. Y. Lau,
Richard C. Thompson
Julien Boucher,
Julien Boucher,
U. Rashid Sumaila,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Margaret B. Murphy,
Richard C. Thompson
Margaret B. Murphy,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Emilia Jankowska,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Arturo Castillo Castillo,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Toby D. Pilditch,
Ben Dixon,
Ben Dixon,
Linda Godfrey,
Laura Koerselman,
Edward Kosior,
Enzo Favoino,
Jutta Gutberlet,
Sarah Baulch,
Richard C. Thompson
Meera E. Atreya,
U. Rashid Sumaila,
David Fischer,
Kevin K. He,
Milan M. Petit,
U. Rashid Sumaila,
Emily Neil,
Mark Bernhofen,
Richard C. Thompson
Keith Lawrence,
James E. Palardy,
Richard C. Thompson
Richard C. Thompson
Summary
Researchers modeled five different intervention scenarios for reducing global plastic pollution between 2016 and 2040 and found that even implementing all feasible solutions would only cut pollution rates by 40% compared to 2016 levels. Under a business-as-usual scenario, 710 million metric tons of plastic waste would still accumulate in ecosystems even with immediate action. The study makes clear that coordinated global efforts across consumption reduction, recycling, waste collection, and innovation are urgently needed.
Plastic pollution is a pervasive and growing problem. To estimate the effectiveness of interventions to reduce plastic pollution, we modeled stocks and flows of municipal solid waste and four sources of microplastics through the global plastic system for five scenarios between 2016 and 2040. Implementing all feasible interventions reduced plastic pollution by 40% from 2016 rates and 78% relative to "business as usual" in 2040. Even with immediate and concerted action, 710 million metric tons of plastic waste cumulatively entered aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. To avoid a massive build-up of plastic in the environment, coordinated global action is urgently needed to reduce plastic consumption; increase rates of reuse, waste collection, and recycling; expand safe disposal systems; and accelerate innovation in the plastic value chain.