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EPIDEMIOLOGICAL INDICATORS OF CASES OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER OCCURRING IN BRAZIL IN 2019 AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GLOBAL PORK MARKET

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RENATA VIEIRA CHAVES GABRIEL, RENATA VIEIRA CHAVES GABRIEL, NAYANE LOPES FERREIRA, NAYANE LOPES FERREIRA, KARINA SANTOS SILVA, KARINA SANTOS SILVA, VITOR SIMãO DA SILVA, VITOR SIMãO DA SILVA, VANESSA SILVA MIRANDA, VANESSA SILVA MIRANDA, SÉRGIO E. LEMOS DA SILVA, SÉRGIO E. LEMOS DA SILVA

Summary

Researchers analyzed epidemiological indicators of Classical Swine Fever (CSF) cases in Brazil in 2019 and correlated them with risk factors in the epidemiological chain and implications for the global pork market. The study found 667 confirmed cases in the first half of 2019 declining to 79 in the second half, with Piaui, Ceara, and Alagoas recording the highest prevalence.

Models

Classical Swine Fever (CSF) is an infectious disease, caused by Pestivirus and highly contagious, considered of mandatory notification by the OIE. Considering the cases of CSP that occurred in Brazil in 2019, this article sought to correlate the epidemiological indicators recorded in the national territory with risk factors that predispose to the incidence of this disease, as well as with the components of the epidemiological chain that are associated with prevention and the consequences for the economy of the sector. The study revealed that in the first half of 2019, 667 cases were confirmed. In contrast, in the second half, 79 cases were confirmed, with the states of Piauí, Ceará, and Alagoas recording higher prevalence of the disease. In the analyzed period, in the regions of disease incidence, 1303 and 336 pigs were susceptible to the virus in the first semester and second semester, respectively; that is, they were exposed to the risk of getting sick. Therefore, analyzing and understanding the health indicators of CSP in the Brazilian territory (in space) and in the year 2019 (in time), means a way to ensure that the Brazilian pork market continues to grow, in addition to developing and improving plans to control, prevent, and eradicate the disease.

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