An estimation of tire and road wear particles emissions in surface water based on a conceptual framework

Freshwater sources have been contaminated with toxic and unwanted substances worldwide. Among these toxic substances, microplastics (MPs) are becoming prominent. There is already a debate on the impact of MPs on the aquatic environment. Tire and road wear particles (TRWPs) are a dominant group among MPs, and it is vital to estimate their occurrence in the environment. This study proposed a conceptual framework to estimate the occurrence and emissions of TRWPs in the environment. The proposed framework developed a vehicle emission model combined with a previously developed freshwater transport model and was demonstrated using a region in Okanagan Valley, British Columbia, as a case study. A sensitivity analysis was performed to address the uncertainty in TRWP emissions. Furthermore, scenarios were developed considering various environmental, management, and treatment factors to forecast the TRWP emissions under different situations. The total TRWPs emission estimated on the road ranged between 25 and 167 t/year, the estimated TRWPs emission to surface water ranged between 4 and 32 t/year, and the estimated TRWPs emission entering lakebed ranged between 4 and 23 t/year. Furthermore, the scenarios analysis showed that selected management and treatment strategies under given environmental conditions can reduce the total emission on-road (from >130 t/year to <60 t/year); reduce emission to surface water (from >35 t/year to ≈ 12 t/year); and reduce lakebed emissions (from 25 t/year to <8 t/year). Therefore, these management and treatment strategies could reduce the annual per-capita TRWP emissions from >4 kg/c/year to <2 kg/c/year. The proposed framework is flexible and can be adapted to forecast TRWP emissions in different regions. The developed model and framework can be improved by collecting more data and considering other contributing factors.