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Willingness-to-pay for precautionary control of microplastics, a comparison of hybrid choice models
Summary
A survey of UK adults found that people were willing to pay to reduce microplastic pollution and to resolve scientific uncertainty about its effects, with higher willingness to pay to reduce actual pollution than to simply gain information. Hybrid choice models revealed that respondents weighed irreversibility of harm more heavily than uncertainty itself.
What are people willing to pay to reduce the uncertainty about the effects of microplastics? We examine this question in two ways. Firstly, using two contingent valuation questions, we elicit willingness to pay (WTP) to (a) reduce uncertainty about the potential adverse consequences of microplastic pollution, and (b) to reduce the release of microplastics to the marine environment. WTP was elicited from a representative sample of UK adults in 2020. Comparing WTP for these two scenarios suggests that respondents prefer resolving irreversibility over resolving uncertainty. Secondly, we use a hybrid choice model to show that latent precautionary attitudes exert a strong positive effect on WTP. Overall, respondents indicated a preference for resolving the uncertainty about microplastics by implementing abatement measures immediately. Given that policymakers are increasingly concerned about the potential for adverse environmental and health effects of microplastics in the marine environment, this paper suggests that the precautionary principle has strong support at the respondent level.