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The Malthusian Trap: A Modern Framework for Population Growth and Climate-Induced Resource Scarcity

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) 2025
Scholtes, Wolfgang

Summary

This theoretical paper updates the Malthusian Trap concept for the 21st century, arguing that climate change, microplastic pollution, and resource scarcity are creating new existential pressures on human populations beyond simply food production.

Study Type Environmental

This paper revisits Thomas Malthus’ classical concept of the “Malthusian Trap” and updates it for the 21st century. It argues that climate change, environmental degradation, and resource scarcity are reshaping the dynamics of human survival far beyond food production. The framework integrates demographic trends, CO₂ emissions, ocean darkening, microplastics, and energy constraints to explain how humanity risks entering a new form of the Malthusian Trap. The analysis provides a modern theoretical foundation to understand global sustainability challenges and their political implications. Keywords: Malthusian Trap; population growth; climate change; resource scarcity; environmental degradation; sustainability; CO₂ emissions; demographic transition; governance Categories: Environmental Economics; Climate Policy; Population Studies; Sustainability Science

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