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Article ? AI-assigned paper type based on the abstract. Classification may not be perfect — flag errors using the feedback button. Tier 2 ? Original research — experimental, observational, or case-control study. Direct primary evidence. Marine & Wildlife Sign in to save

Plastic waste discharge to the global ocean constrained by seawater observations

Nature Communications 2023 108 citations ? Citation count from OpenAlex, updated daily. May differ slightly from the publisher's own count. Score: 55 ? 0–100 AI score estimating relevance to the microplastics field. Papers below 30 are filtered from public browse.
Lili Lei, Qiaotong Pang, Yanxu Zhang, Lei Mai Lei Mai Lei Mai Lei Mai Lei Mai Lei Mai Lei Mai Lei Mai Peipei Wu, Eric P. Chassignet, Xiaobiao Xu, Lili Lei, Lei Mai Ruochong Xu, Qiaotong Pang, Xiaobiao Xu, Eric P. Chassignet, Yanxu Zhang, Ruochong Xu, Lili Lei, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Lei Mai Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Peipei Wu, Ruochong Xu, Lei Mai Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Xuantong Wang, Ruochong Xu, Lili Lei, Lei Mai Amina T. Schartup, Yanxu Zhang, Yanxu Zhang, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lili Lei, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Peipei Wu, Xuantong Wang, Amina T. Schartup, Huan Liu, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lili Lei, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Lei Mai Yanxu Zhang, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Arjen Luijendijk, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Amina T. Schartup, Yanxu Zhang, Lei Mai Lei Mai Eddy Y. Zeng, Xiaotong Wang, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lili Lei, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Huizhong Shen, Yiming Peng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Qiaotong Pang, Eddy Y. Zeng, Xinle Wang, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Xiaotong Wang, Xiaotong Wang, Eddy Y. Zeng, Lei Mai Xiaotong Wang, Ruwei Wang, Ruwei Wang, Qiaotong Pang, Qiaotong Pang, Qiaotong Pang, Huan Liu, Yanxu Zhang, Huizhong Shen, Xiaotong Wang, Arjen Luijendijk, Eric P. Chassignet, Xiaobiao Xu, Huizhong Shen, Shuxiu Zheng, Shuxiu Zheng, Eddy Y. Zeng, Yanxu Zhang, Lei Mai Lei Mai

Summary

Researchers used ocean plastic concentration data combined with multiple ocean circulation models to estimate that approximately 0.7 million metric tons of plastic enter the ocean each year, though uncertainty spans nearly 1.5 orders of magnitude. The study emphasizes that improving emission inventories and ocean monitoring data are the highest priorities for reducing uncertainty in global plastic pollution estimates.

Marine plastic pollution poses a potential threat to the ecosystem, but the sources and their magnitudes remain largely unclear. Existing bottom-up emission inventories vary among studies for two to three orders of magnitudes (OMs). Here, we adopt a top-down approach that uses observed dataset of sea surface plastic concentrations and an ensemble of ocean transport models to reduce the uncertainty of global plastic discharge. The optimal estimation of plastic emissions in this study varies about 1.5 OMs: 0.70 (0.13-3.8 as a 95% confidence interval) million metric tons yr<sup>-1</sup> at the present day. We find that the variability of surface plastic abundance caused by different emission inventories is higher than that caused by model parameters. We suggest that more accurate emission inventories, more data for the abundance in the seawater and other compartments, and more accurate model parameters are required to further reduce the uncertainty of our estimate.

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