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Microplastic forecast
Summary
This analysis estimates future microplastic pollution trajectories by applying various management strategies — including production caps and improved waste management — to baseline data, modeling the relationship between plastic waste mass and environmental microplastic abundance.
The previous chapters have introduced a range of options to limit the production, loss and lifespan of plastic pollution. However, it is challenging to predict what the impact of these measures might be. By first exploring the development, implementation, control and decline of other historic pollutants we will discuss the factors influencing the reduction of environmental microplastic pollution. Subsequently, we will estimate the impact of potential management options on microplastic output by applying different strategies to baseline data, establishing the relationship between the mass of plastic waste and the abundance of microplastics released.