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Sensitivity analysis of a one-dimensional microplastic transport model in turbulent rivers: Intrinsic properties and hydrodynamics
Summary
Researchers developed a one-dimensional mechanistic model for microplastic vertical transport in the Ergene River, Turkey, and conducted sensitivity analysis to identify the most influential parameters. Both MP physical properties (density, shape, size) and river hydrodynamics (discharge, turbulence) significantly affected model outputs, informing which measurements are most critical for accurate MP transport prediction.
Since rivers are major transport routes for microplastics, developing novel modeling approaches has become a subject of research to better understand the transport behavior of these particles in river systems. This study aims to model the vertical transport of microplastics at selected sites of the Ergene River, Türkiye, simulate the concentration dynamics of these particles in water and sediment under different hydrodynamic and morphological conditions, and determine the sensitivity of the model results to parameters related to the physical characteristics of microplastics, as well as river hydrodynamics and morphology. A mechanistic model was developed using data on microplastics, river hydrodynamics and morphology. Mass-balance and hydrodynamic equations were utilized for model construction in GoldSim to predict the transport of microplastics between the water column and sediment. The model results revealed that the residence time of microplastics in water was directly related to flow characteristics and river hydraulics, while the initial concentration of particles in water dominated other parameters in influencing the settling and resuspension fluxes of microplastics. Turbulent conditions affected both flow rate and particle resuspension, suggesting that turbulence can either increase or decrease microplastic concentrations and their residence time in the water column and sediment. The model results for both compartments were most sensitive to changes in water and plastic density, whereas Nikuradse sand roughness was the least significant parameter affecting the model outcomes for both compartments.
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