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Machine Learning for Flood Resiliency—Current Status and Unexplored Directions
Summary
This review examines the current state of machine learning (ML) applications across the full flood management spectrum, finding that deep learning models like long short-term memory networks perform well for reservoir flow prediction, while reinforcement learning shows promise for managing low-impact development systems in pluvial flood control.
A systems-oriented review of machine learning (ML) over the entire flood management spectrum encompassing, fluvial flood control, pluvial flood management and resiliency-risk characterization was undertaken. Deep learners like long short-term memory (LSTM) networks perform well in predicting reservoir inflows and outflows. Convolution neural networks (CNN) and other object identification algorithms are being explored in assessing levee and flood wall failures. The use of ML methods in pump station operations are limited due to lack of public-domain datasets. Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown promise in controlling low impact development (LID) systems for pluvial flood management. Resiliency is defined in terms of vulnerability of a community to floods. Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) and unsupervised ML methods are used to capture vulnerability. Supervised learning is used to model flooding hazards. Conventional approaches perform better than deep learners and ensemble methods for modeling flood hazards due to paucity of data and large inter-model predictive variability. Advances in satellite-based, drone-facilitated data collection and Internet-of-Things (IoT) based low-cost sensors offer new research avenues to explore. Transfer learning at ungaged basins holds promise but is largely unexplored . Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is seeing increased use and helps the transition of ML models from black-box forecasters to knowledge-enhancing predictors.